to Say that car are only for the rich seems an exaggeration. But, having regard to the market behavior of the last times and the trends of the future, in the sector it is feared that ends up being reality. The evolution of the sales , primarily by the channel of the particular , with falls in the last three months, is an indicator pointing to a downturn in the market. Buyers increasingly doubt at the time of making the will probably be the largest investment of his life after that of the housing. The restrictions of movement and the legislative changes that are planned and that affect the diesel in the first instance, but also the rest of combustion engines and even hybrids, with an increase of the fit models, as well as the new habits of consumers, especially young people, are becoming to the car in a property in an item selected and up to a certain point of luxury.
The last warning has been given this same week the Association of European Automobile Manufacturers (ACEA), the heat of the protests of the yellow vests in France against the new rate that the neighboring country was planning to apply to the fuels and coinciding with the start of the negotiations the Commission and the Parliament and the Council of europe to agree on the objectives of the EU for emissions of CO2de vehicles in the 2025 and 2030. “Families of low and middle income people will not accept levels of reduction that have a negative impact on their mobility,” he warned the business entity. Therefore, advocates a transition “can only occur at a pace that you keep individual mobility affordable to all layers of the society”. Its president and chief executive officer of PSA, Carlos Tavares, stated that “the social exclusion (which these measures can result) should be avoided by all means”.
There is aid for the purchase of electric but not the achatarramiento of old vehicles
The patron saint of Spanish have also raised the hand. Gerardo Perez, president of Faconauto, who represent the dealerships, is emphatic: “The car, which had democratized transport, going way be for a few” complaint. And puts various examples that, in his opinion, support this assertion. One, the restrictions of movement that just got underway in Madrid. “For access to the centre –regrets– there you have an electric car or hybrid, typically high performance; who has a diesel or gasoline of 15 years, can’t do.” This discrimination, he insists, “is going against the less favored classes”.
The taxation and the incentives to hide some paradoxes. Buy a car with zero emissions are a public grant –that arises from the taxes of all citizens– but in the end, these cars often acquire people well-to-do, which is often used as a second vehicle. Thus, it would be producing a controversial transfer of income. In parallel, the sending of old cars to the scrap yard do not get any help from that finalized the plans PIVE, in 2016. This situation highlights the president of Faconauto, “has enabled the market opportunity of more than ten years; the cars, instead of retiring, are resold, and continue to circulate, which is a contradiction if the aim is to reduce emissions.” And precisely this is the only market that can be accessed by the population with less purchasing power. The past year has been resold them in Spain a million vehicles more than ten years. To reverse the situation, Perez bet for recovering this type of programs that promote the achatarramiento.
Some grants end up enjoying buyers with purchasing power
The technology will be key to overcome the problems of access due to lack of budget, highlights David Ortega, professor of EADA Business School, specialist in the automotive sector. “The new generations, the millennial and the urban population, increasingly see the car as a service and not as property.” Before, he adds, “the rule was a car that 95% of the time will be stopped by any person; there are now various operators in transport multi-modal access to a group of people who want to move around and access from your mobile”. This formula will allow, according to this expert, “to facilitate mobility more intelligent and cost-effective.” There are intermediate stages, such as the renting contract, which also grows by that has a car with the maintenance and other expenses including paying a fixed monthly fee.
The particular think more before you buy
The evolution of the enrollment in 2018 is a bit strange. In the first half, the growth was clear in all sales channels, with a rise in cumulative 10% compared to the figures of the 2017. In the channel of individuals, which shows the direct consumption of the citizens, was 9.3%. The entry into force of the new rules for approval of emissions of engines known as the WLTP, in September, shot up the sales in the months of July and August, thanks to the offers to reduce the stock of cars of the previous standard. But in the following months there has been a downward correction. In September there was a fall of 17.7% (17.7% in the channel of individuals); in October, up from 6.6% (3% in the channel in particular); and in November, from 12.6% ( 10.6% in the channel in particular). In the first Betkanyon eleven months of the year the balance is positive, with a rise of 8% (to 5.2% in the channel in particular), but the current trend is concerned. The explanation the sector is not so much the effect of the WLTP but the regulatory uncertainty. “They are three months in a row to the downside, is never seen in the past five years,” says Gerardo Perez, president of Faconauto, who fears that “the negative climate that surrounds the automotive can convert this situation into structural”. Meanwhile, the market opportunity is growing. Grew by 4.1% in September, 12.3% in October and 7.5% in November. The nine-2018 throws a rise of 7.7%.
